The weather pattern is looking more favorable with each computer model run for severe storms across the central plains Sunday. But are these storms chaseable?
Meteorologically, the air with this system is not that unstable. Dynamically (wind) it is strong which can and likely will make up for the lack of instability. But for storm chasing, it's all about storm mode, i.e. squall line vs. discrete storms Storm mode is mainly dependent how the winds are stacked up vertically or the shear. The shear for this set up is strongly on the squall line side of things.
Squall lines are not "good chasing". This coupled with an after dark scenerio and the distance involved makes a quality chase unlikely at this time.
Tremendous Dust Storm Across the Northern Plains
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On the afternoon of 14 May 2026, a strong midlatitude cyclone centered over
the prairie provinces of Canada forced very strong winds in the Northern
Great ...
12 hours ago
Update:
ReplyDeleteSlower timing, non-existent instability, too many negative factors. Stick a fork in it, this chase possibility is done!