Radar and Current Chase Position

Friday, February 20, 2009

CHASE UPDATE - A lesson in the long range!






FYI, I'm a weekend chase warrior for the most part so I'm always optimistic for Saturdays and Sundays.

12z Friday runs show a cold front entering the eastern Gulf on Friday/Saturday. While I'd rather not see that happen, it does appear the trajectories into the southern Plains originate in the Caribbean.

Lee-side cyclogenesis is still progged for Sunday.

Of course all of this is 10 days away and SMILE (strict model interpretation, laughable or eventful) applies!

Update:

O.K. here's the same time as the image above from Monday's 12z run of the GFS. Notice the winds over the western Gulf! 180 degree difference.




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